Seasonal Soil Compaction Risk Mapping for Agricultural Management Using Earth Observation Data and Multi-Criteria Analysis in Italy

Type Journal Article - Agronomy
Title Seasonal Soil Compaction Risk Mapping for Agricultural Management Using Earth Observation Data and Multi-Criteria Analysis in Italy
Author(s)
Volume 16
Issue 11
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2026
URL https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16111071
Abstract
Soil compaction is a widespread yet insufficiently monitored form of agricultural land degradation, affecting approximately 25% of global soils and nearly 33% of European subsoils, with consequential reductions in soil physical functionality, crop performance, and long-term sustainability; however, approaches for national-scale compaction risk mapping remain limited. A geospatial decision support framework was developed to quantify and map susceptibility to compaction risk across Italy by integrating Earth observation products with multi-criteria decision analysis within a GIS-based Analytic Hierarchy Process. The model combined four indicators: (i) Soil Moisture Index derived from Sentinel 1 C band SAR time series (2018 to 2024), (ii) the Sentinel 2 Normalized Difference Tillage Index, (iii) clay fraction from SoilGrids 2.0, and (iv) an Intensity of Agricultural Practice Index derived from national census statistics. The approach was applied to 74,156 km2 of bare soil surfaces across all 20 regions to generate 100 m seasonal and multi-year mean risk maps. Extreme risk (high plus very high) exhibited a bimodal seasonal behavior, occupying 53.6% in winter and 55.5% in autumn, while declining to 24.8% in spring and 26.5% in summer; Southern Italy showed the largest seasonal amplitude (40.7%), and Friuli Venezia Giulia persisted as a hotspot exceeding 50% in all seasons. Comparison with the independent bulk density observations yielded 31.24

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